Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000628 0.000715 0.000807 0.000912 0.001028 0.001151 0.001292
2025-10-05 0.000509 0.000632 0.000771 0.000940 0.001136 0.001358 0.001624
2025-10-12 0.000441 0.000581 0.000747 0.000955 0.001207 0.001501 0.001866
2025-10-19 0.000378 0.000527 0.000709 0.000947 0.001245 0.001602 0.002057
2025-10-26 0.000329 0.000481 0.000676 0.000937 0.001274 0.001688 0.002229
2025-11-02 0.000295 0.000452 0.000659 0.000945 0.001322 0.001797 0.002428
2025-11-09 0.000264 0.000422 0.000638 0.000944 0.001357 0.001887 0.002605
2025-11-16 0.000228 0.000382 0.000599 0.000915 0.001352 0.001924 0.002712
2025-11-23 0.000200 0.000350 0.000567 0.000893 0.001354 0.001967 0.002827
2025-11-30 0.000180 0.000328 0.000549 0.000888 0.001378 0.002040 0.002981
2025-12-07 0.000163 0.000310 0.000534 0.000886 0.001404 0.002115 0.003139
2025-12-14 0.000146 0.000289 0.000514 0.000875 0.001415 0.002169 0.003268
2025-12-21 0.000129 0.000267 0.000491 0.000858 0.001419 0.002213 0.003387
2025-12-28 0.000123 0.000262 0.000494 0.000882 0.001483 0.002344 0.003630
2026-01-04 0.000115 0.000255 0.000492 0.000897 0.001534 0.002457 0.003849
2026-01-11 0.000104 0.000239 0.000477 0.000890 0.001549 0.002518 0.003996
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000225 0.000461 0.000880 0.001561 0.002574 0.004134
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000217 0.000456 0.000887 0.001598 0.002668 0.004331
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000206 0.000446 0.000886 0.001622 0.002742 0.004500
2026-02-08 0.000069 0.000189 0.000421 0.000859 0.001603 0.002749 0.004568
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000174 0.000402 0.000838 0.001592 0.002770 0.004656
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000166 0.000392 0.000834 0.001609 0.002831 0.004808
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000158 0.000383 0.000832 0.001629 0.002899 0.004968